Skill 06 — Policy closure
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Skill 06 — Policy closure
Purpose01
Use this skill when an OPEN/DIRECTION question must move toward a defensible public position, especially because:
- journalists or voters will reasonably demand a concrete answer;
- current law or evidence has changed;
- a valmanifest, EU-program or shadow budget needs a parameter decision;
- the same unresolved question keeps recurring;
- the party risks using
more analysisas avoidance rather than epistemic humility.
Core rule:
OPEN is a queue, not a home.
The goal is not to force false certainty. The goal is to know what remains uncertain, what is a value choice, when a choice must be made and what evidence would justify changing it later.
Required reading02
Before closing a question:
memory/01-core.md;- relevant domain
memory/03–10; memory/14-citizen-coverage.mdwhen distribution/rights/life situations matter;memory/15-deprecated-and-open-questions.md;program/12-besluts-och-granskningsram.md;program/14-hard-questions-and-decision-queue.mdwhen the question is a recurring public/press attack;- latest relevant audit/source note.
For economic questions also read program/02-ekonomisk-strategi.md and any current tax/budget architecture.
Step 1 — Phrase the hard question03
Do not start from the party's preferred framing. Start from the strongest public challenge.
Examples:
Should Sweden adopt the euro — yes or no?Are you restoring the property tax?Should police be allowed to identify people with real-time facial recognition?Why are teeth not treated like the rest of the body?
Then write the best hostile follow-up. If the answer only survives a friendly first question, it is not closed.
Step 2 — Split the question04
Separate:
- normative/value choice;
- empirical mechanism;
- legal constraint/current law;
- professional judgment;
- fiscal/resource constraint;
- implementation/transition;
- distribution and rights;
- reversible vs irreversible components.
Do not let research pretend to answer a value question, and do not let a value slogan pretend to settle an empirical question.
Step 3 — Map the system05
Use systemic detail understanding:
whole → system → dependency → mechanism → detail → power → intervention → feedback
Ask:
- what outcome are we actually trying to change?
- which institutions/markets/people produce it?
- what depends on what?
- where is the actual bottleneck or power point?
- who can object, appeal or exit?
- what second-order effect appears elsewhere?
Step 4 — Search the current evidence and debate06
For time-sensitive questions, use current primary sources first:
- Swedish law, government inquiries, Riksdag, authorities, SCB, Riksbank, KI, official EU/NATO/OECD sources where relevant;
- systematic reviews, established research institutions and peer-reviewed work;
- serious professional objections and minority views;
- contemporary public debate to identify the questions citizens/journalists will actually ask.
Do not treat the debate as evidence. Use it to reveal hidden value conflicts, implementation questions and missing alternatives.
Store reusable provenance in sources/ with date and links/citations. A source file never creates policy by itself.
Step 5 — Steelman at least two alternatives07
Include status quo unless obviously impossible.
For each alternative show:
- strongest argument for it;
- strongest argument against it;
- expected mechanism;
- rights/intrusion;
- fiscal cost/revenue where material;
- distribution;
- implementation risk;
- reversibility;
- what evidence is genuinely uncertain.
Avoid fake balance: if one alternative violates a core right or has evidence of serious harm, say so.
Step 6 — Run the citizen and power audit08
At minimum check:
- low/median/high income;
- children and youth;
- elderly;
- disabled/chronic illness;
- rural/urban;
- renters/owners where relevant;
- workers/small firms/large actors;
- people with weak digital or administrative capacity;
- minorities and those likely to bear enforcement;
- future generations for long-lived commitments.
Ask separately who gains money, agency, risk, voice, exit and burden of proof.
Step 7 — Decide status09
COMMITMENT
Use when the question follows directly from rights/core values or is a principle the party will defend even at political cost.
DIRECTION
Use when the target and broad mechanism are chosen but parameters/implementation remain.
PILOT
Use when the mechanism is plausible, reversible and evidence can reasonably be produced through controlled trial.
OPEN
Keep only when a real unresolved choice remains. Every strategically important OPEN question must have:
- decision deadline/event;
- missing evidence or value choice;
- named next research product;
- a truthful interim press answer.
More research is needed without these fields is not a valid terminal state.
Step 8 — Produce three truthful resolutions10
10 seconds
One direct sentence. Answer the actual question before adding nuance.
60 seconds
State choice/rule + why + key safeguard/tradeoff.
Full answer
System map, evidence, alternatives, cost, distribution, implementation, uncertainty and change conditions.
The short answer may omit detail but must never contradict the full answer.
Step 9 — State change conditions11
A closed position must say what could reopen it.
Examples:
- an independent evaluation shows no effect;
- error rates exceed a predefined threshold;
- the fiscal base changes materially;
- a new legal constraint applies;
- distribution becomes much worse than modeled;
- a new technology removes the original tradeoff.
This is not weakness. It is the party's public anti-dogma contract.
Step 10 — Write back without duplication12
When a position changes:
- update relevant canonical
memory/file; - update relevant
program//Q&A/decision queue; - update
memory/15if OPEN/deprecated status changed; - add source provenance if useful;
- add an audit for a major/controversial closure;
- update status/index only when materially needed.
Do not keep contradictory versions alive in multiple canonical files. Historical arguments belong in audits/sources, not parallel policy.
Quality gates13
Before calling a question closed, verify:
- Would a hostile interviewer say we answered the question?
- Is the 10-second answer true?
- Is the value judgment visible rather than hidden as science?
- Did we model the whole system rather than one headline metric?
- Did we analyze who loses?
- Is funding/administrative capacity real?
- Does the position preserve voice, exit and meaningful appeal where relevant?
- Is the change condition clear?
- Would the same method yield this answer if the politically popular side were reversed?
If not, keep working.